Prediction-Market

Prediction Markets are decentralized platforms where users trade shares based on the outcome of future events, ranging from elections to sports and crypto prices.By leveraging the "wisdom of the crowd," platforms like Polymarket provide highly accurate, censorship-resistant forecasting data. In 2026, these markets serve as a primary source of sentiment analysis and risk hedging. This tag covers the technology behind decentralized oracles, event-based liquidity, and the growing role of prediction markets in global information discovery.

912 Articles
Created: 2026/02/02 18:52
Updated: 2026/02/02 18:52
Federal Pause in Connecticut Case

Federal Pause in Connecticut Case

The post Federal Pause in Connecticut Case appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. A high-stakes legal showdown over Kalshi prediction markets has escalated, as a federal court steps in to pause a contentious enforcement push from Connecticut regulators. Judge pauses Connecticut gambling order targeting Kalshi A federal judge has temporarily shielded Kalshi from a Connecticut gambling order, after the state accused the prediction platform of running unlicensed online wagering. The decision offers short-term protection while a broader jurisdictional battle plays out in federal court. The ruling blocks Connecticut from enforcing its cease-and-desist directive as the legal fight over Kalshi’s regulatory status stretches into early 2026. However, the reprieve is only temporary, with a strict briefing schedule now in place. Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) issued cease-and-desist notices on Dec. 2 to Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com. The agency alleged that each platform was offering unlicensed sports wagering through what it called “online sports event contracts”. Kalshi argues federal derivatives oversight and CFTC authority A day after receiving the notice, Kalshi sued the DCP in federal court. The company contends that its event-based contracts are financial derivatives, not gambling products, and therefore sit under the CFTC’s exclusive purview rather than state law. On Monday, Judge Vernon Oliver ordered the DCP to refrain from taking any enforcement action while the court evaluates Kalshi’s request for temporary relief. Moreover, the judge set a clear timetable for the next phase of the case. Under the schedule, the DCP must file its response by Jan. 9. Kalshi will then submit additional arguments by Jan. 30, with oral arguments expected in mid-February. That said, the outcome could have implications well beyond Connecticut. Kalshi, which the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has designated as a federally regulated contract market, began offering event-based contracts nationwide earlier this year. Its markets span sports, weather, and political outcomes, deepening the ongoing cftc jurisdiction dispute…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Federal judge grants relief in kalshi prediction markets clash with Connecticut regulators

Federal judge grants relief in kalshi prediction markets clash with Connecticut regulators

A high-stakes legal showdown over Kalshi prediction markets has escalated, as a federal court steps in to pause a contentious enforcement push from Connecticut regulators. Judge pauses Connecticut gambling order targeting Kalshi A federal judge has temporarily shielded Kalshi from a Connecticut gambling order, after the state accused the prediction platform of running unlicensed online […]

Author: The Cryptonomist
Prediction Market Kalshi Wins Crucial Legal Battle as US Court Halts Connecticut’s Order

Prediction Market Kalshi Wins Crucial Legal Battle as US Court Halts Connecticut’s Order

BitcoinWorld Prediction Market Kalshi Wins Crucial Legal Battle as US Court Halts Connecticut’s Order In a significant development for the crypto and fintech space, a US federal court has delivered a pivotal ruling. The court has granted a stay, effectively halting a cease-and-desist order from Connecticut’s Department of Consumer Protection (DCP) against the prediction market Kalshi. This decision throws a spotlight on the intense regulatory scrutiny facing innovative financial […] This post Prediction Market Kalshi Wins Crucial Legal Battle as US Court Halts Connecticut’s Order first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
ICE CEO Reveals Over Half Of Clients Now Eager For Crypto Forecasting Platforms

ICE CEO Reveals Over Half Of Clients Now Eager For Crypto Forecasting Platforms

The post ICE CEO Reveals Over Half Of Clients Now Eager For Crypto Forecasting Platforms appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half Of Clients Now Eager For Crypto Forecasting Platforms Skip to content Home Crypto News Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms Source: https://bitcoinworld.co.in/ice-clients-prediction-markets-surge/

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms

Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms

BitcoinWorld Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms Imagine a world where traditional commodity traders pivot toward forecasting real-world events. That world is now here. Jeffrey Sprecher, CEO of Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), recently dropped a bombshell: more than half of ICE’s institutional clients are actively exploring prediction markets. This seismic shift signals that crypto-based forecasting platforms are moving from niche curiosities to mainstream […] This post Prediction Markets Surge: ICE CEO Reveals Over Half of Clients Now Eager for Crypto Forecasting Platforms first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld
Stripe, Paradigm Open Tempo Blockchain to Public as Stablecoin Demand Accelerates

Stripe, Paradigm Open Tempo Blockchain to Public as Stablecoin Demand Accelerates

Stripe and Paradigm opened Tempo's public testnet, inviting companies to build stablecoin payment apps with fixed 0.1-cent fees and predictable settlement. The post Stripe, Paradigm Open Tempo Blockchain to Public as Stablecoin Demand Accelerates appeared first on Coinspeaker.

Author: Coinspeaker
Elite Traders May Exploit Retail Inefficiencies in Bitcoin-Linked Prediction Markets

Elite Traders May Exploit Retail Inefficiencies in Bitcoin-Linked Prediction Markets

The post Elite Traders May Exploit Retail Inefficiencies in Bitcoin-Linked Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Crypto prediction markets are seeing a surge in retail participation, but elite traders are capitalizing on information asymmetry and spreads from casual bettors, leading to losses for 83% of users per Dune data. Professional desks are increasing activity to extract profits from this dynamic. Rising liquidity draws informed traders who hedge and price probabilities accurately against narrative-driven retail bets. Blockchain analysis shows only 16.7% of Polymarket wallets in profit, highlighting risks for casual investors. Perfect win rates, like 100% on OpenAI events yielding $77,000, fuel insider trading suspicions amid data bugs inflating volumes. Discover how elite traders dominate crypto prediction markets with data-driven edges over retail bettors. Explore risks, stats, and emerging concerns in this growing sector—stay informed to navigate wisely. What Are Crypto Prediction Markets and How Do Elite Traders Dominate Them? Crypto prediction markets are decentralized platforms where users bet on real-world event outcomes using cryptocurrencies, functioning like blockchain-based betting exchanges for politics, sports, and tech developments. They have gained traction as a battleground where informed, professional traders compete against retail participants for profits. According to a report from research firm 10x Research, most users trade on dopamine and narratives rather than discipline, allowing a small elite to drive accuracy and extract premiums from longshot bets. This structure incentivizes professional trading desks to ramp up activity, capturing spreads and misinformation asymmetries fueled by casual investors seeking quick gains. The markets’ rising liquidity, particularly on platforms like Polymarket, mirrors broader crypto trends but exposes retail users to significant risks, as they often behave more like sports bettors than strategic investors. Polymarket active users, weekly, Bitcoin left-hand-side price, year-to-date chart. Source: 10x Research The integration of blockchain transparency with prediction outcomes creates a unique ecosystem, but it also amplifies the divide between prepared traders and newcomers. 10x Research notes that…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Galaxy Digital Transfers 900 BTC as It Explores Altcoins and Prediction Markets

Galaxy Digital Transfers 900 BTC as It Explores Altcoins and Prediction Markets

The post Galaxy Digital Transfers 900 BTC as It Explores Altcoins and Prediction Markets appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Galaxy Digital recently transferred 900 Bitcoin (BTC), valued at $81.59 million, to a new wallet, signaling active management of its holdings amid expansions into altcoins like Solana and prediction markets. This move underscores the firm’s strategic positioning in the evolving crypto landscape and growing institutional interest. Galaxy Digital’s 900 BTC transfer highlights its proactive asset management and transparency in institutional crypto activities. The firm is aggressively accumulating Solana (SOL), with purchases totaling around $300 million across multiple exchanges. Institutions accumulated 11,260 BTC in early December, per blockchain analytics, reflecting broader market confidence with rising stablecoin volumes and DEX activity. Discover Galaxy Digital’s 900 BTC transfer and its altcoin strategies in this in-depth analysis. Stay ahead in crypto—explore institutional trends shaping Bitcoin and beyond today. What is Galaxy Digital’s Recent BTC Transfer All About? Galaxy Digital’s BTC transfer involves moving 900 Bitcoin, worth $81.59 million, to a newly created wallet on December 9, 2025, as confirmed by blockchain analytics firm Lookonchain. This action demonstrates the firm’s ongoing commitment to transparent management of its substantial cryptocurrency portfolio. It aligns with previous high-profile transactions, such as an 80,000 BTC sale earlier in the year for a Satoshi-era investor focused on real estate diversification. How Is Galaxy Digital Expanding into Altcoins Like Solana? Galaxy Digital has shown significant interest in altcoins, particularly Solana (SOL), by executing purchases amounting to approximately $300 million through platforms like Binance, Coinbase, and Bybit in 15 separate transactions, according to data from Arkham Intelligence. Within just five days, the firm accumulated nearly 6.5 million SOL, which was then transferred to secure custody solutions provided by Fireblocks, indicating a clear long-term holding strategy. This diversification beyond Bitcoin positions Galaxy Digital as a key player in the altcoin sector, capitalizing on Solana’s scalability and growing ecosystem. Experts note that such moves…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Buys Brokerage & Crypto Firms

Buys Brokerage & Crypto Firms

The post Buys Brokerage & Crypto Firms appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Robinhood Indonesia Crypto Expansion relies on buying a local brokerage and crypto firm. Both deals need OJK approval and aim to close in the first half of 2026. Indonesia move extends Robinhood’s prediction markets and tokenization strategy into Southeast Asia. Robinhood is set to enter Indonesia through a pair of acquisitions that put the United States trading platform directly into one of Southeast Asia’s fastest growing markets. The company disclosed it has signed agreements to purchase local brokerage PT Buana Capital Sekuritas and digital asset firm PT Pedagang Aset Kripto, marking its first step toward offering both equity and cryptocurrency services in Indonesia. Robinhood To Serve Indonesia’s Stock And Crypto Investors Under the proposed structure, Robinhood will take over operations at Buana Capital, while continuing to serve the firm’s existing customer base with Indonesian financial products. The company stated that its longer term plan is to introduce its own brokerage suite and crypto trading tools, so Indonesian users can tap United States equities, local digital assets, and cross market instruments from one app. PT Pedagang Aset Kripto, the second targeted acquisition, would give Robinhood direct exposure to Indonesia’s active crypto trading segment. Data from market institutions show that there are more than 19 million capital-market participants and 17 million crypto investors in the country, indicating the scale of potential demand for integrated trading services. Pieter Tanuri, the majority owner of both Buana Capital and PT Pedagang Aset Kripto, will remain involved in the transition as a strategic advisor following the completion of the two deals. Related: Robinhood to Acquire MIAXdx in Joint Venture with Susquehanna, Seizing Control of Prediction Market Stack  What OJK Approval and 2026 Timeline Mean For Robinhood’s Launch The company noted that each transaction remains subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory review by the Otoritas Jasa…

Author: BitcoinEthereumNews
Stunning $13B Surge: November Prediction Market Volume Shatters All Records

Stunning $13B Surge: November Prediction Market Volume Shatters All Records

BitcoinWorld Stunning $13B Surge: November Prediction Market Volume Shatters All Records Hold onto your hats. The world of forecasting just witnessed a seismic shift. In November alone, a staggering over $13 billion surged through prediction markets. This isn’t just a big number; it’s more than triple the trading volume seen during the peak of the 2024 U.S. presidential election frenzy. This explosive prediction market volume signals […] This post Stunning $13B Surge: November Prediction Market Volume Shatters All Records first appeared on BitcoinWorld.

Author: bitcoinworld