BTC ETFs Rebound with $562M Inflow, Price Below 78K

Spot Bitcoin (BTC detailed analysis) ETFs attracted approximately $562 million in net inflows on Monday, ending a four-day outflow streak. Last week saw $1.5 billion in outflows, and since the beginning of the year, spot BTC ETFs have recorded a total of $4.6 billion in outflows, partially offset by $3.6 billion in inflows, resulting in a net outflow of $1 billion as of Tuesday (SoSoValue data). Although the BTC price fell below $75,000 over the weekend, it recovered above $79,000 on Monday (CoinGecko). The current price is at the $78,219 level, trading with a 0.67% increase in 24 hours.

Bitcoin ETF flows since Jan. 16. Source: SoSoValue

Spot Bitcoin ETF Flows End Four-Day Outflow Streak

This inflow indicates that investor confidence is slowly returning. Despite a net $1 billion outflow since the beginning of the year, Monday’s flow gave the market a breather. ETFs are monitored as a barometer of institutional demand.

BTC Price Fell Below MicroStrategy Cost Basis

Bitcoin fell below MicroStrategy’s average cost basis of $76,037 for the first time since October 2023. It also dropped below $80,000 for the first time since April 2025. This decline stems from geopolitical tensions and US monetary policy uncertainty. Galaxy Digital Research Director Alex Thorn noted that BTC is trading 7.3% below the ETF average creation cost of $84,000, a level crossed for the first time since summer and fall 2024.

Bitcoin Key Levels (realized price, 50-week moving average, 200-week moving average) since 2011. Source: Galaxy Research, Glassnode

Technical Indicators: RSI Oversold, Strong Supports Nearby

RSI at 28.50 is in oversold territory, signaling a downtrend and bearish Supertrend. EMA 20: $85,621. Strong supports: $74,604 (S1, 75% score), $77,503 (S2, 61% score). Resistances: $79,364 (R1, 70% score), $82,602 (R2). BTC futures may test these levels.

ETH ETF Outflows and Market Pressures

Ether (ETH) ETFs recorded a light outflow of $2.9 million on Monday. CoinShares Research Director James Butterfill highlighted negative capital flows, geopolitical tensions, and Fed uncertainty. Last week, there were $1.7 billion outflows from crypto exchange-traded products.